Overview

AAccording to the H4 chart, GBP/JPY stays neutral at the moment. Price actions at the level of 195.86 are viewed as a consolidation pattern and should be supported by fibonacci level at 182.88. An upside breakout through 195.86 is expected later. However, sustained trading below 182.88 will dampen our view and turn focus back to the support level of 174.86.

Ther is not enough evidence for medium-term reversal yet. The uptrend from the level of 116.83 could extend to 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to the psychological level of 200 and top there. Meanwhile, consider bearish divergence condition in the weekly MACD.A break of support at 174.86 will suggest that the trend has reversed earlier than we expect.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 185.41; (P) 186.42; (R1) 186.99;