Overview

GBP/JPY remains mildly on the downside for the 180.36 low first. A break will confirm resumption of the whole fall from 195.86 and a deeper decline would be seen to test the 174.86 key support level. The break of the medium-term trend-line support is taken as a sign of a trend reversal. It is supported by bearish divergence condition in the weekly MACD. Also, GBP/JPY was close to key cluster resistance of 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80, which is close to 200 psychological level. A break of 174.86 will confirm the trend reversal and bring a deeper fall to 38.2% retracement of 116.83 to 195.86 at 165.67. In case of another rise, we will be cautious on strong resistance from 199.80/200.00 to bring the reversal finally.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 180.44; (P) 181.73; (R1) 182.63