Overview:

• As expected the NZD/USD pair has kept moving downwards from the level of 0.6557. Yesterday, the pair dropped from the level of 0.6557 (this level of 0.6557 coincides with the double top) to the bottom around 0.6461. Today, the first resistance level is seen at 0.6546 followed by 0.6600, while daily support 1 is seen at 0.6503. According to the previous events, the NZD/USD pair is still moving between the levels of 0.6600 and 0.6503; for that we expect a range of 97 pips (0.6600 - 0.6503). If the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level of 0.6600, the market will decline further to 0.6546. This would suggest a bearish market because the RSI indicator is still in a positive area and does not show any trend-reversal signs. The pair is expected to drop lower towards at least 0.6503 with a view to test the daily pivot point. On the contrary, if a breakout takes place at the resistance level of 0.6605 (the double top), then this scenario may become invalidated.

Intraday technical levels:

• R3: 0.6642
• R2: 0.6600
• R1: 0.6546
• PP: 0.6503
• S1: 0.6450
• S2: 0.6408
• S3: 0.6354