EUR/NZD failed in its first attempt to break above resistance at 1.7732. We still think that red wave v already is developing for a rally to at least 1.8030 and if this is the case, then support at 1.7580 ideally should protect the downside for renewed upside pressure and this time a break above a break above 1.7732 for confirmation that red wave v is moving higher towards 1.8030.

Only and unexpected break below 1.7538 will keep red wave iv alive, but the potential downside should be very limited and no lower than 1.7488.

R3: 1.7823

R2: 1.7783

R1: 1.7732

Pivot: 1.7651

S1: 1.7626

S2: 1.7580

S3: 1.7538

Trading recommendation:

We are long EUR from 1.7615 with our stop placed at 1.7515. Upon a break above 1.7732 we will move our stop higher to 1.7575 and we will take profit on half our position at 1.8000.