Green line -support trend line

Black lines -Fibonacci retracement

Oil prices formed a lower high this week around $114 and price is now again below $110. Oil price has broken once again below the important upward sloping support trend line and has potential to form new lower lows below $104.50. Oil price bounced from $104.50 and retraced a little bit more than 50% of the decline from $123,67. Price remains vulnerable to more downside as long as price is below $114. Failure to hold $104 will open the way for a bigger decline towards $90-$85. I believe this is not a good time to remain bullish oil, specially if price fails to hold $104.