empty
 
 
25.10.2018 05:39 PM
Will the fall of the US stock market stop the Fed interest rate hike?

This image is no longer relevant

On the eve of the US stock market, the second collapse occurred last week. Stock indices have gone negative since the beginning of the year, having an updated local minimum.

All this is observed against the background of strengthening the position of the American currency. The dollar index to the basket of six major currencies is now at its maximum since August and, apparently, can still grow significantly.

It is expected that in the first half of November, the most large-scale repayments of treasuries will take place, that is, more than $ 60 billion will leave the system almost overnight, which could lead to an increase in the dollar rate and further deterioration of market conditions in the United States.

According to experts, the current sale in the stock market, fueled, including concerns about the introduction of duties against US companies operating in the Middle Kingdom, is unlikely to force the Fed to abandon further monetary policy tightening in December, but can convince the regulator to revise plans to raise interest rates in the years 2019-2020.

"We believe that the fall in US stock indices could cause a slowdown in US economic growth next year. If sales continue, and stock prices drop another 10% in the fourth quarter (to about 2500 points on the S & P 500 index) and remain at that level, the negative impact on the US economy will be about 0.75% of GDP by the second quarter of 2019." said analysts Goldman Sachs.

Earlier, representatives of Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAML) said that the S & P 500 index should sank to at least 2500 points before the Fed will refrain from increasing interest rates.

Viktor Isakov,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2025
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
V Isakov
Start trade
Gagnez sur les variations du cours des cryptomonnaies avec InstaForex.
Téléchargez MetaTrader 4 et ouvrez votre première transaction.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $6000 more!
    In December we raffle $6000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback