Overview

According to the shown H4 chart, a temporary low is formed at 183.96. Initial bias in GBP/JPY is neutral this week. Overall, we are still favoring the scenario that the consolidation pattern from 180.36 has been completed at 188.79. Another fall is expected and movements below 183.96 will target a test of the 180.36/64 support zone. In case of another rise, we will be cautious about strong resistance from 199.80/200.00 to bring a reversal finally. In the longer-term picture, the uptrend from the 116.83 long-term bottom could be topping. There is no confirmation yet, but even in case of another rise, strong resistance is now likely to be seen near the 61.8% retracement of 251.09 to 116.83 at 199.80.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 185.27; (P) 185.75; (R1) 186.39