empty
 
 
29.04.2019 11:11 AM
EURUSD: Despite the growth of the US economy, there are still problems with consumer and business spending

On Friday, the US dollar made another attempt to grow after the release of the report, which indicated that the US economy in the first quarter of 2019 grew at a high rate due to an increase in exports and investment in inventories. This allowed to resolve the problem associated with the slowdown in demand from consumers and companies.

However, the bears did not manage to stay at the new minimums, which led to a quick profit taking and a small upward correction of the euro by the end of the North American session.

According to the data of the US Department of Commerce and the first preliminary estimate, the US GDP in the 1st quarter of the current year grew immediately by 3.2% per annum, while economists had expected growth of only 2.5%, after 2.2% in the 4th quarter of year 2018.

This image is no longer relevant

As noted above, the main contribution was made due to large export growth, while imports gradually declined. Also, the growth of public spending and private investment added a few tenths to GDP. The main problem is a slower growth in consumer spending, as well as business, where a slowdown was noted in the first quarter. Thus, consumer spending in the 1st quarter increased by only 1.2% after rising 2.5% in the 4th quarter of 2018. The reduction in the main item of expenditure has affected large purchases and durable goods.

Also on Friday, it became known that consumers' assessment of the prospects for the American economy in April of this year has somewhat deteriorated. According to the University of Michigan, the final consumer sentiment index in April 2019 was 97.2 points, down from the March value of 98.4 points. The university noted that the average value of the index over the past 28 months is 97.2 points.

This image is no longer relevant

After the published data, a presentation was made by Economic Advisor to the USS President Larry Kudlow, who said that strong GDP data was provided by the current policy of Donald Trump, which in the future will further contribute to economic recovery.

Kudlow also drew attention to the slowdown in inflation, noting that its low level may show a decrease in the Fed's rates in the coming months. With regard to trade negotiations between the US and China, the presidential adviser remains cautiously optimistic.

The technical picture in the EURUSD pair has not changed significantly. Trading in the next few days will be conducted from the support range of 1.1115, where the bulls will try to build a new lower limit of the ascending channel. The main problem for buyers of risky assets will be the upper limit of the current side channel at 1.1180, a breakthrough of which will lead the trading tool to return to levels 1.1210 and 1.1240.

Jakub Novak,
Chuyên gia phân tích của InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Kiếm lợi nhuận từ những biến đổi giá của tiền điện tử với InstaForex.
Tải MetaTrader 4 và mở giao dịch đầu tiên của bạn.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • Tiền gửi lần truy cập
    Ký quỹ tài khoản của bạn với $3000 và nhận được $1000 nhiều hơn!
    Trong Tháng 4 chúng tôi xổ $1000 trong chiến dịch Chancy Deposit!
    Có được một cơ hội giành chiến thắng bằng việc ký quỹ $3000 vào một tài khoản giao dịch. Đáp ứng được điều kiện này, bạn trở thành một người tham gia chiến dịch.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • Giao dịch khôn ngoan, thành công
    Nạp tiền vào tài khoản của bạn với ít nhất $ 500, đăng ký cuộc thi và có cơ hội giành được các thiết bị di động.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • 100% tiền thưởng
    Cơ hội duy nhất của bạn để nhận 100% tiền thưởng khi gửi tiền
    NHẬN THƯỞNG
  • 55% Tiền thưởng
    Đăng ký tiền thưởng 55% cho mỗi lần gửi tiền của bạn
    NHẬN THƯỞNG
  • 30% tiền thưởng
    Nhận 30% tiền thưởng mỗi khi bạn nạp tiền vào tài khoản của mình
    NHẬN THƯỞNG

Các bài báo được đề xuất

Không thể nói chuyện ngay bây giờ?
Đặt câu hỏi của bạn trong phần trò chuyện.
Widget callback