Technical Market Outlook:

The EUR/USD pair has been seen moving up towards the next target for bulls seen at 161% Fibonacci extension located at 1.0623. The last local pull-back had tested the nearest technical support seen at 1.0254 and since then the bulls are still pushing to the upside. The new swing high was made at the level of 1.0497 in form of a Pin Bar, so a local pull-back is due. The strong and positive momentum supports the short term bullish outlook for EUR on the H4 time frame chart. The bulls still need to complete the wave v of the wave A to the upside as a part of the ABC-X-ABC complex corrective structure, so a breakout above the level of 1.0480 is needed soon.

Weekly Pivot Points:

WR3 - 1.04855

WR2 - 1.04310

WR1 - 1.04122

Weekly Pivot - 1.03765

WS1 - 1.03577

WS2 - 1.03220

WS3 - 1.02675

Trading Outlook:

The EUR had made a new multi-decade low at the level of 0.9538, so as long as the USD is being bought all across the board, the down trend will continue towards the new lows. In the mid-term, the key technical resistance level is located at 1.0389 and only if this level is clearly violated, the down trend might be considered terminated. Please notice, there is plenty of room to the downside for the EUR to go, all of the potential technical support level are very old and might not be much reliable anymore.

Please be aware, that any sustained breakout below the technical support seen at 0.9737 will extend the down move even more and will put the level of 0.9669 in view. In the longer term, the key technical resistance level is located at 1.0789 (swing high from May 30th), so the bulls still have a long road to take before the down trend reversal is confirmed. It looks like the simple corrective ABC cycle might evolve into more complex and time consuming ABC-X-ABC cycle.