empty
 
 
29.11.2022 01:44 PM
Bitcoin: the threat of the second wave of miners' capitulation

The price of the main cryptocurrency rose, returning the losses of the previous trading day. However, this does not change the technical picture, in which the main cryptocurrency is consolidating within the bear flag canvas, which technically leaves the prerequisites for an even greater decline.

This image is no longer relevant

In the last 24 hours, the Bitcoin trading volume is $25,195,723,296. The market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market is $834.81 billion, which is 2.01% more than yesterday.

The news that crypto-lending platform BlockFi has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy may have had some impact.

Notably, BlockFi, a cryptocurrency lender, filed for bankruptcy protection on Monday, just days after suspending withdrawals following FTX's bankruptcy filing.

According to the bankruptcy filing, its significant exposure to FTX caused a liquidity crunch. FTX, founded by Sam Bankman-Fried, filed for bankruptcy in the US earlier this month after traders withdrew $6 billion from the platform in three days and rival exchange Binance pulled out of a rescue deal.

The second wave of Bitcoin miner capitulation

In addition to the bankruptcy of BlockFi, other important events are taking place. The collapse of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange caused a historic event in the bitcoin market.

Yesterday, on-chain data signaled the second wave of bitcoin miners capitulation in one cycle.

Bitcoin miner capitulation is a scenario that occurs when the price of the main cryptocurrency falls and it becomes difficult for some miners to hold BTC profitably. As a result, they are forced to sell and leave the network.

Historically, miners have had a huge impact on the BTC price. The announced capitulation of miners will put additional pressure on the price of the main cryptocurrency, which is experiencing a historically bad November, falling by 21%.

Bitcoin miners under water

The bitcoin hash rate is starting to change here. The 7-day moving average hash rate is now 13.7% below its all-time high.

Mining difficulty is expected to adjust by around -9% within a week, which will ease the burden on miners, at least in the short term.

Nevertheless, miners margins have been and continue to be declining strongly since June, when the first capitulation in this cycle occurred. Despite this, the hash rate still rose to an all-time high until recently.

This, the increased difficulty of mining, and the price drop associated with FTX have caused the hash price to reach its lowest level since late 2020.

By changing the net position of Bitcoin miners, it is clear that they have been aggressively selling coins over the past month.

"Combined with the decline in the hash rate and today's hash band bear cross, this suggests that we are indeed in a phase of miner capitulation," said Will Clemente of Reflexivity Research.

How long will the capitulation last?

Keep in mind that the capitulation of miners is usually the last stage of a bitcoin bear market. In the 2018 cycle, the BTC hashrate continued to rise as the price reached the $6,000 mark until the final miner capitulation reached $3,000.

In the current cycle, miners have already been capitulated in June. They have reduced their holdings by 4,000 BTC over the past two weeks, equivalent to approximately $68 million.

Prior to that, they had just started a net accumulation trend in September 2022, betting that the bottom had been reached. However, they bet on the wrong horse and now face dire consequences.

Historically, miner capitulation has lasted an average of 48 days, which would end miner pressure by mid-January 2023.

However, the most recent capitulation ended only two months later, on August 18. The end was the third longest capitulation in history. Therefore, Bitcoin bulls should be careful in December and January and watch the behavior of the miners.

Ekaterina Kiseleva,
Chuyên gia phân tích của InstaForex
© 2007-2023
EURUSD
Euro vs US Dollar
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Start trade
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • Tiền gửi lần truy cập
    Ký quỹ tài khoản của bạn với $3000 và nhận được $8000 nhiều hơn!
    Trong Tháng 3 chúng tôi xổ $8000 trong chiến dịch Chancy Deposit!
    Có được một cơ hội giành chiến thắng bằng việc ký quỹ $3000 vào một tài khoản giao dịch. Đáp ứng được điều kiện này, bạn trở thành một người tham gia chiến dịch.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • Giao dịch khôn ngoan, thành công
    Nạp tiền vào tài khoản của bạn với ít nhất $ 500, đăng ký cuộc thi và có cơ hội giành được các thiết bị di động.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • 100% tiền thưởng
    Cơ hội duy nhất của bạn để nhận 100% tiền thưởng khi gửi tiền
    NHẬN THƯỞNG
  • 55% Tiền thưởng
    Đăng ký tiền thưởng 55% cho mỗi lần gửi tiền của bạn
    NHẬN THƯỞNG
  • 30% tiền thưởng
    Nhận 30% tiền thưởng mỗi khi bạn nạp tiền vào tài khoản của mình
    NHẬN THƯỞNG

Recommended Stories

XRPUSD retest of broken resistance at $0.43.

XRPUSD is trading around $0.45 above the broken resistance at $0.43. After a sharp move towards $0.49 price turned back to back test the broken resistance. Previous resistance

Alexandros Yfantis 12:52 2023-03-26 UTC+2

Bitcoin maintains balance after Fed meeting

Bitcoin has managed to rise to $29,000 over the past several days. BTC continues to hover near that level at this point. The technical situation has not changed

Paolo Greco 14:49 2023-03-24 UTC+2

Bitcoin at $1 million

Amid the banking crisis and the Fed's aggressive policy with additional tightening, bitcoin and the wider crypto market are beginning to be seen as a safe haven. According to Robert

Irina Yanina 13:08 2023-03-24 UTC+2

Bitcoin recovers above $28k ahead of the weekend: Is the upside potential exhausted?

After a successful bullish week and a strong surge in volatility on March 22, trading activity in the cryptocurrency market fell slightly. Bitcoin managed to gain a foothold above $28k

Artem Petrenko 12:20 2023-03-24 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of ETH/USD for March 24, 2023

Crypto Industry News: Telegram takes a big step forward in cryptocurrency integration. Over 700 million users of the instant messaging app Telegram can now seamlessly buy, sell and transfer

Sebastian Seliga 09:02 2023-03-24 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of BTC/USD for March 24, 2023

Crypto Industry News: On March 22, the US SEC accused Tron founder Justin Sun of selling and distributing unregistered securities via TRX and BTT tokens. This is a violation

Sebastian Seliga 09:02 2023-03-24 UTC+2

Elliott wave analysis of Litecoin for March 24, 2023

Litecoin continues to perform well and should soon test resistance near 98.30. This resistance may be able to temporarily cause a setback to support near 88.50, but ultimately, we expect

Torben Melsted 07:34 2023-03-24 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Filecoin Cryptocurrency, Friday March 24. 2023.

If we look at the 4 hour chart of Filecoin Cryptocurrency then there will be a few interesting things as follow: 1. Price movement above its Moving Average

Arief Makmur 07:01 2023-03-24 UTC+2

Technical Analysis of Intraday Price Movement of Polkadot Cryptocurrency, Friday March 24. 2023.

With the appearance of the deviation between price movement with Stochastic Oscillator indicato as well as the absence of Descending Broadening Wedge pattern on Polkadot Cryptocurrency on its 4 hour

Arief Makmur 07:01 2023-03-24 UTC+2

ETH/USD: bullish bias intact above 1,706

ETH/USD moves somehow sideways in the short term and it seems undecided. It's trading at 1,754 at the time of writing. After its strong growth, a short-term retreat was natural

Ralph Shedler 14:28 2023-03-23 UTC+2
Không thể nói chuyện ngay bây giờ?
Đặt câu hỏi của bạn trong phần trò chuyện.