Overview:

When bulls pushed the price further above 79.6% Fibonacci level, the market looked quite overbought. That is why, the price failed to hold above 1.2650 - 1.2680 (previous highs), resulting in a formation of successive lower highs (within the depicted consolidation zone) enhancing the bearish side of the market.

Daily fixation below 1.2300 opened a way towards the levels of 1.2000 and 1.1940 (the depicted weekly uptrend).

Bullish support was found around these levels. Successive higher lows were reached. Bullish pressure was applied against the resistance levels of 1.2450 and 1.2500 (previous tops).

On the other hand, the previous weekly candlestick was quite bullish. That is why, an extensive bullish movement is seen on the chart.

A bullish breakout above the zone of 1.2770-1.2800 has been executed.

Earlier, signs of lacking bullish momentum were generated on the chart. A bearish corrective movement was initiated towards the levels of 1.2900-1.2850.

However, a new bullish swing has been taking place this week, especially after the bullish engulfing daily candlesticks expressed last week.

The long-term bullish projection target remains projected at the level of 1.3270 (100% Fibonacci Expansion) where bearish pressure should be applied.

However, price action should be watched around the current price level of 1.3050 (Recent Support). Daily closure exposes below the next support levels around 1.2910 then 1.2800 where long-term BUY entries should be considered.

Trading recommendations:

Conservative traders can wait for a bearish pullback towards the recent breakout zone (1.2800-1.2750) for a valid buy entry as the breakout level constitutes a strong recent support.

Stop Loss should be located below the level of 1.2700. T/P levels should be located at 1.2850 and 1.2900.