Yesterday I noted that price was challenging the long-term important resistance at 1.1730-1.1760. I also mentioned in yesterday's analysis that the best option would be to go short this pair as the risk reward ration favored this view. The potential of a rejection was high, price was near resistance and the stop was very close. Price indeed got rejected and is now nearly 90 pips lower.

Black lines - triangle pattern

Blue lines - contracting triangle in RSI

The EUR/USD pair got rejected yesterday at the upper triangle boundary and is now trading near 1.1647. Trend remains neutral as long as we are inside this triangle. Break below 1.16 and we will start a move lower towards 1.13. Break above 1.1740 and we are off to 1.19. The RSI is approaching support level so traders should not chase the short side here until we have more info about the market conditions, specially after the US GDP announcement later in the day. This is a macroeconomic announcement that is expected to influence the direction of this pair significantly.