Analysis of the wave counting:

The attempt to continue the development of the upward movement undertaken by the EUR / USD pair did not succeed, and after working off the mark of 1.2320, the price rebounded by more than 150 pp from the maximum of the past environment. It can be assumed that the currency pair nevertheless designated the peak of wave b, 4th, A, (C) and began to make efforts to transition to the stage of formation of the future wave c, 4th, A, (C). If this is the case, the surviving divergence of the MACD still indicates the possibility of starting a decline in quotes in the direction of a possible settlement target for this wave c, 4th, A, (C), located near the level of the 18th, or even 17th figure.

The targets for the upward wave option:

1.2200 - 1.2400

The targets for the downward wave option:

1.1732 - 23.6% of Fibonacci

1.1510 - 38.2% of Fibonacci

General conclusions and trading recommendations:

The tool continues to build the upward trend section. This week, it is possible to resume the decline in quotations within the wave c, 4th, A, (C) with targets located near the calculated marks of 1.1732 and 1.1510, which corresponds to 23.6% and 38.2% of Fibonacci. The divergence of the MACD indicates the willingness of the instrument to build a downward wave. The wave b and 4 strongly complicated its internal wave structure, but it can still be completed.