Overview

EUR/JPY continues falling today and reaches as low as 127.31 so far. Intraday bias remains on the downside to test the 126.09 key support level. We stay cautious about strong support from 126.09. But a break of the 129.66 support, turning it into resistance, is needed to indicate short-term bottoming. Otherwise, the outlook will stay bearish. A decisive break of 126.09 will extend the larger decline from 149.76. A strong rebound after failing to sustain below 38.2% retracement of 94.11 to 149.76 at 128.50 points to the development of a sideways pattern. We expect more range trading between 126.09 and 149.76 in the medium term. An upside breakout should come next at a later stage. Nevertheless, a decisive break of 126.09 would extend the correction towards 61.8% retracement at 115.36.

Daily Pivots: (S1) 127.16; (P) 128.31; (R1) 129.12