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Long-term review

Minor operational scale (Daily)

Beginning of summer - options for the development of the movement of the dollar index #USDX and "raw" currencies AUD/USD & USD/CAD & NZD/USD in June 2020.

____________________

US dollar index

In June 2020, the movement of the dollar index #USDX will be determined depending on the direction of the breakdown of the range:

  • resistance level 98.45 on the Median Line of the Minor operational scale forks;
  • support level 98.05 on the initial SSL line of the Minuette operational scale forks.

Breakdown of the Median Line Minor - resistance level 98.45 - development option of the upward movement of the dollar index to the borders of the equilibrium zone (99.30-99.70-100.10) of the Minuette operational scale forks and channel 1/2 of the Median Line (99.45-100.45-101.45) of the Minor operational scale forks.

If the initial - SSL (support level 98.05) and control - LTL (97.90) of the Minuette operational scale forks are consistently broken, the downward movement of #USDX can be continued to the goals:

  • lower bound of ISL61.8 (97.45) equilibrium zone of the Minor operational scale forks;
  • final Shiff Line Minor (96.40)

The layout of the #USDX movement options in June 2020 is shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 01.06.2020 analysis

____________________

Australian dollar vs US dollar

The development of the movement of the Australian dollar AUD/USD in June 2020 will depend on the development and direction of the breakdown of the range:

  • resistance level 0.6795 on the control line UTL of the Minor operational scale forks;
  • support level 0.6650 on the FSL endpoint of the Minor operational scale forks.

When the FSL terminal line of the Minor operational scale forks breaks down - support level 0.6650 - the downward movement of the Australian dollar to the borders of the 1/2 Median Line channel (0.6425-0.6290-0.6180) and the equilibrium zone (0.6120-0.5970-0.5810) of the Minor operational scale forks will be determined.

If the resistance level of 0.6795 breaks through on the UTL control line of the Minor operational scale forks, the upward movement of AUD/USD can be continued towards the targets:

  • warning line UWL100. 0 (0.6975) of the Minuette operational scale forks;
  • local maximum 0.7034;
  • warning line UWL61.8 Minute (0.7390).

The markup of the AUD/USD movement options in June 2020 is shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 01.06.2020 analysis

____________________

US dollar vs Canadian dollar

The development of the movement of the Canadian dollar USD/CAD in June 2020 will be due to the development and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (1.3645-1.3850-1.4050) of the Minor operational scale forks - look at the animated chart for the details of movement within this zone of equilibrium.

If the resistance level 1.4050 at the upper boundary ISL38.2 zone equilibrium of the Minor operational scale forks will make possible the continued development of the movement of the Canadian dollar to the borders of the channel 1/2 Median Line (1.4220-1.4380-1.4550) and equilibrium zone (1.4430-1.4660-1.4920) of the Minuette operational scale forks.

A breakdown of the support level 1.33645 at the lower border of ISL61.8 of the Minor operational scale forks will direct the development of the USD/CAD movement to the final Shiff Line Minor (1.3300) and to the final FSL line Minor (1.3000).

The markup of the USD/CAD movement options in June 2020 is shown on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 01.06.2020 analysis

____________________

New Zealand dollar vs US dollar

The development of the movement of the New Zealand dollar NZD/USD in June 2020 will depend on the development and direction of the breakdown of the range:

  • resistance level 0.6265 on the UTL control line of the Minuette operational scale forks;
  • support level 0.6180 at the upper border of ISL61.8 balance zone of the Minor operational scale forks.

The breakdown ISL61.8 Minor - support level of 0.6180 will determine the refund, the movement of the New Zealand dollar in the zone of equilibrium (0.6180-0.6030-0.5880) of the Minor operational scale fork with the prospect of the channel borders 1/2 Median Line (0.5840-0.5730-0.5590) of the Minuette operational scale fork.

If the resistance level of 0.6265 breaks through on the UTL control line of the Minuette operational scale forks, the upward movement of NZD/USD will be directed to the warning lines - UWL38.2 (0.6490) and UWL100.0 (0.6640) of the Minuette operational scale forks with the prospect of updating the local maximum of 0.6753.

We look at the layout of the NZD/USD movement options in June 2020 on the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 01.06.2020 analysis

____________________

The review is compiled without taking into account the news background, the opening of trading sessions of the main financial centers, and is not a guide to action (placing "sell" or "buy" orders).

The formula for calculating the dollar index:

USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.

where the power coefficients correspond to the weights of currencies in the basket:

Euro - 57.6 %;

Yen - 13.6 %;

Pound - 11.9 %;

Canadian dollar - 9.1 %;

Swedish Krona + 4.2 %;

Swiss franc - 3.6 %.

The first coefficient in the formula brings the index value to 100 on the starting date - March 1973 when the main currencies began to be freely quoted relative to each other.

*Analiza tržišta koja se ovde nalazi namenjena je boljem razumevanju tržišta i ne pruža instrukcije za vršenje trgovanja.

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