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Long-term review

Here's an addition to the previous review. A comprehensive analysis of the movement #USDX, EUR / USD, GBP / USD and USD / JPY from September 11, 2019

Minuette (H4 time frame)

____________________

US dollar Index

The movement of the dollar index #USDX from September 11, 2019 will depend on the direction of the breakdown of the range :

  • resistance level of 98.30 (lower boundary of ISL61.8 of the equilibrium zone of the Minuette operational scale fork);
  • support level of 98.20 (the upper boundary of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel).

If the #USDX returns above ISL61.8 Minuette (resistance level of 98.30) - development will occur again in the equilibrium zone (98.30 - 98.50 - 98.75) of the Minuette operational scale fork, and in case of breakdown of the ISL38.2 Minuette (98.75), the upward movement of the dollar index can continue to the warning line UWL38.2 (98.85) of the Minuette operational scale fork and the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (99.25 - 99.40 - 99.55).

On the other hand, the joint breakdown of support level of 98.20 (upper boundary of the 1 / 2 Median Line Minuette channel) and SSL start line (98.15) of the Minuette operational scale fork will determine the development of the movement of the dollar index in the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (98.20 - 97.85 - 97.55).

The details of the #USDX movement are presented in the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 11.09.2019 analysis

____________________

Euro vs US dollar

The single European currency EUR / USD develops movement in the 1/2 Median Line channel (1.1050 - 1.1020 - 1.0990) of the Minuette operational scale fork, respectively, the further trend of movement of this currency instrument from September 11, 2019 will be determined by the direction of the breakdown the above levels. For details of movement in the 1 / 2 Median Line Minuette channel, look at the animated chart.

The breakdown of the lower boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel (support level of 1.0990) of the Minuette operational scale pitchfork will make the continuation of the development of the downward movement relevant for the single European currency to the starting line SSL Minuette (1.0955) and local minimum 1.0926.

And if a consecutive breakdown of the upper boundary of the 1/2 Median Line channel (resistance level of 1.1050) for the Minuette operational scale fork and ISL38.2 Minuette (1.1060) occurs, the development of the EUR / USD movement will continue within the boundaries of the equilibrium zones of the Minuette operational scale fork (1.1060 - 1.1105 - 1.1150) and Minuette (1.1115 - 1.1170 - 1.1220).

The details of the EUR / USD movement options are shown in the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 11.09.2019 analysis

____________________

Great Britain pound vs US dollar

Now, for the development of Her Majesty's currency movement GBP / USD from September 11, 2019, it will be determined by the direction of the breakdown of the range :

  • resistance level of 1.2395 (control line UTL Minuette operational scale fork);
  • support level of 1.2355 (the initial line of SSL Minuette operating scale fork).

The breakdown of the SSL start line (support level of 1.2355) of the Minuette operational scale forks will direct the GBP / USD downward movement to the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (1.2280 - 1.2205 - 1.2130) of the Minuette operational scale forks, as well as to the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line channel (1.2250 - 1.2205 - 1.2155) and equilibrium zones (1.2155 - 1.2085 - 1.2020) of the Minuette operational scale fork.

On the other hand, the breakdown of the UTL control line (resistance level of 1.2395) of the Minuette operational scale pitchfork will determine the development of the upward movement of GBP / USD to the final FSL line (1.2510) of the Minuette operational scale fork with the prospect of reaching the warning line UWL38.2 Minuette (1.2610).

The details of the GBP / USD movement can be seen in the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 11.09.2019 analysis

____________________

US Dollar vs Japanese Yen

From September 11, 2019, the movement of the USD / JPY currency of the country of the rising sun will continue to depend on the working out and direction of the breakdown of the boundaries of the equilibrium zone (107.53 - 106.95 - 106.40) of the Minuette operational scale fork. The development options are shown in the animated chart.

The breakdown of the support level of 106.40 (the lower boundary of the equilibrium zone ISL38.2 of the Minute operational scale fork) will direct the currency of the "country of the rising sun" to the boundaries of the 1/2 Median Line Minuette channel (106.25 - 105.80 - 105.35) with the prospect of reaching the midline of the Median Line (105.10) of the Minuette operational scale fork.

When updating the local maximum (resistance level of 107.53 - the upper boundary of the equilibrium zone ISL61.8 of the Minuette operational scale fork), there will be a continuation of the upward movement of USD / JPY to the targets - the final Schiff Line Minuette (107.80) - warning lines UWL38.2 (108.25) and UWL61.8 (108.70) of the Minuette operational scale fork.

We look at the details of the USD / JPY movement in the animated chart.

Exchange Rates 11.09.2019 analysis

____________________

The review is made without taking into account the news background. The opening of trading sessions of the main financial centers does not serve as a guide to action (placing orders "sell" or "buy").

The formula for calculating the dollar index :

USDX = 50.14348112 * USDEUR0.576 * USDJPY0.136 * USDGBP0.119 * USDCAD0.091 * USDSEK0.042 * USDCHF0.036.

where power factors correspond to the weights of the currencies in the basket:

Euro - 57.6% ;

Yen - 13.6% ;

Pound Sterling - 11.9% ;

Canadian dollar - 9.1%;

Swedish Krona - 4.2%;

Swiss franc - 3.6%.

The first coefficient in the formula leads the index to 100 at the start date of the countdown - March 1973, when the main currencies began to be freely quoted relative to each other.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Viele Grüße,
Analytiker: Ratu Taslim
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