Yesterday, the euro grew slightly not so much because of profit-taking (some players left the markets before today's European Central Bank meeting), but because of the emergence of risk appetite: S&P 500 0.82%, Euro Stoxx 50 1.78%, 5-year yield US government bonds increased from 0.685% to 0.738%. And if even on Monday-Tuesday the market was dominated by the opinion about introducing specifics into the monetary policy of the ECB, then yesterday the major market participants were no longer so specific in such forecasts and expectations.
On the daily chart, the Marlin Oscillator continues to rise slowly in a narrow upward channel. The signal line has come very close to the zero line and, under favorable circumstances, is ready to turn down from it. In this case, the target is the level 1.1705 (March 31st low).
In order for the growth to develop, the price needs to overcome the first resistance at 1.1850. The path to this level is not very close, so the likelihood of wide range trading today and tomorrow is very likely. If the resistance holds, the price will go to the support at 1.1705. If the resistance does not resist, then the growth will continue to the second target at 1.1925.
Marlin entered positive territory on the four-hour chart. This is a sign of a probable price surge to the MACD line 1.1815 before the price falls in the main scenario.
*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.
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