12.08.2022 05:04 AM
Forecast for EUR/USD on August 12, 2022

Yesterday, the euro once again tried to attack the resistance level of 1.0360 (June 15 low), the attempt was unsuccessful, the pullback intensified. The Marlin Oscillator is already turning down in the positive area, and the price needs to overcome the support of the MACD indicator line (1.0222) and then the euro will begin to fall in the medium term. The first target is 1.0150.

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Federal Reserve FOMC members Neil Kashkari and Mary Daly (until recently a dove) announced the US central bank's firm intention to raise rates by 0.75% in September. The yield on 5-year US government bonds rose from 2.92% to 2.99%, breaking Monday's high.

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The Marlin Oscillator is leading the price down on the four-hour chart. The price itself tends to overcome the support of the MACD line (1.0276), which coincides with yesterday's low. It is very possible that the price will move below 1.0276 and the Marlin Oscillator into negative territory at the same time. In this case, the euro will receive a strong downward momentum with further downward development.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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