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29.11.2023 06:20 PM
EUR/JPY: more declines below 161.52

The EUR/JPY pair is trading in the red at 161.72 at the time of writing and it seems very heavy in the short term. The bias remains bearish, so more declines are expected. Still, a downside needs confirmation.

Fundamentally, the German Prelim CPI reported a 0.4% drop, more compared to the 0.1% drop expected, while Spanish Flash CPI rose by 3.2%, less compared to the 3.6% growth estimated.

Tomorrow, Japan is to release Housing Starts, Consumer Confidence, Retail Sales, and Prelim Industrial Production data. On the other hand, the Eurozone CPI Flash Estimated, Core CPI Flash Estimate, German Unemployment Change, and German Retail Sales figures.

EUR/JPY New Distribution Pattern!

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Technically, the rate developed a new leg down after escaping from the up channel pattern. It has found temporary support on 161.52 and it has turned to the upside to retest the 162.17 static resistance (support turned into resistance).

Now, it challenges the 161.52 former low which represents a static support. Its failure to test and retest the downtrend line signaled strong downside pressure.

EUR/JPY Outlook!

A bearish closure below 161.52 activates more declines. This is seen as a new selling opportunity.

Ralph Shedler,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2024
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