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16.07.2020 04:52 AM
Forecast for USD/JPY on July 16, 2020

USD/JPY

Yesterday, the yen attacked the MACD line from top to bottom in exactly the same way as it did on July 10 (Friday). Accordingly, history can repeat itself with growth on the model of July 13 (Monday), although there are also differences on the smaller-scale chart that reduce the probability of repeating the previous scenario. The current situation is neutral on the daily-scale; the price is under the trend line and above the MACD line – in this narrow range. Marlin gravitates to a fall.

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The price is lower than the balance and MACD indicator lines on the four-hour chart, the balance line looks stronger than it was on the 10th, and the Marlin oscillator line entered the zone of negative values from top to bottom, which gives it more impetus to decline further.

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Thus, consolidating the price below the MACD line on the daily scale is the main scenario now. A drop in the price below the signal level of 106.65 (July 10 low) will strengthen the price's desire to support the price channel around the 105.68 (daily) mark.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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