empty
 
 
29.09.2022 01:50 PM
GBP/USD: "Mixed" news for the pound

This image is no longer relevant

Today, the dollar is recovering its positions in the foreign exchange market after yesterday's fall. The Bank of England said it would make temporary purchases of UK government bonds with long maturities "to restore orderly market conditions." As part of the announced bond purchase program, the Bank of England will buy bonds with a maturity of more than 20 years: "initially, bonds worth up to 5 billion pounds will be bought at one auction."

On Wednesday, the Bank of England said it had purchased £1.025 billion worth of bonds. "Subsequent auctions will be held every business day from 13:15 to 14:45 (GMT) through October 14."

As a result of Wednesday's intervention to buy bonds by the Bank of England, the yields of European and US government bonds fell sharply. Yields on 10-year U.S. Treasury fell from 4.01% to 3.73%, rolling back from multi-year highs by 7.5%.

Against the backdrop of falling yields on US government bonds, the dollar fell sharply on Wednesday. Its DXY index lost more than 1%, dropping from an earlier new local 20-year high of 114.74 to 112.50.

Today, the markets are gradually calming down and "recovering" after yesterday's storm. The dollar, as we noted above, is recovering its positions, and its DXY index is near 113.25 as of this writing, while 10-year US Treasury yields is also growing again, which, in turn, is facilitated by the tough policy of the Federal Reserve.

Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic said yesterday that the base case for now is a 75 bps rate hike in November and a 50 bps hike in December. In his opinion, the lack of progress in curbing inflation means that by the end of the year, the Fed will have to set rates in the range 4.25%–4.5%.

The Fed's super-tight monetary policy cycle is an undeniably strong positive fundamental factor for the dollar.

As for the pound, the new policy announced yesterday by the Bank of England on the purchase of government bonds is "mixed" news for it, economists say. By buying bonds, the BoE actually suspended the planned quantitative tightening (QT). As you know, interest rate cuts and quantitative easing (purchases on the government bond market) are one of the main instruments of the central banks' monetary policy, as a result of which the quotes of the national currency, as a rule, are declining.

Given yesterday's sharp rise in government bonds, the fall in dollar quotes and the fact that the Bank of England intends to conduct large-scale purchases of government bonds daily until October 14, regular bursts of volatility in financial markets are likely during the time period announced by the BoE (from 13:15 to 14:45 GMT ).

Today also (at the beginning of the American trading session), the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis will publish the final data on GDP growth for the 2nd quarter, and the U.S. Department of Labor will present the data on weekly jobless claims. This will also affect the dollar quotes and cause volatility in the market, especially if the data differs greatly from the forecast values.

This image is no longer relevant

As of writing, the GBP/USD pair is trading near 1.0863, remaining in the zone of both short-term (below resistance levels 1.0998, 1.1438) and long-term (below resistance levels 1.2165, 1.2380) bear markets.

Jurij Tolin,
Chuyên gia phân tích của InstaForex
© 2007-2024
Kiếm lợi nhuận từ những biến đổi giá của tiền điện tử với InstaForex.
Tải MetaTrader 4 và mở giao dịch đầu tiên của bạn.
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • Tiền gửi lần truy cập
    Ký quỹ tài khoản của bạn với $3000 và nhận được $1000 nhiều hơn!
    Trong Tháng 4 chúng tôi xổ $1000 trong chiến dịch Chancy Deposit!
    Có được một cơ hội giành chiến thắng bằng việc ký quỹ $3000 vào một tài khoản giao dịch. Đáp ứng được điều kiện này, bạn trở thành một người tham gia chiến dịch.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • Giao dịch khôn ngoan, thành công
    Nạp tiền vào tài khoản của bạn với ít nhất $ 500, đăng ký cuộc thi và có cơ hội giành được các thiết bị di động.
    THAM GIA CUỘC THI
  • 100% tiền thưởng
    Cơ hội duy nhất của bạn để nhận 100% tiền thưởng khi gửi tiền
    NHẬN THƯỞNG
  • 55% Tiền thưởng
    Đăng ký tiền thưởng 55% cho mỗi lần gửi tiền của bạn
    NHẬN THƯỞNG
  • 30% tiền thưởng
    Nhận 30% tiền thưởng mỗi khi bạn nạp tiền vào tài khoản của mình
    NHẬN THƯỞNG

Các bài báo được đề xuất

Không thể nói chuyện ngay bây giờ?
Đặt câu hỏi của bạn trong phần trò chuyện.
Widget callback