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04.07.2013 09:59 AM
Elliott Wave analysis of EUR/NZD for July 4, 2013

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Today's support and resistance levels:

R3: 1.6823

R2: 1.6778

R1: 1.6735

Current spot: 166.85

S1: 1.6646

S2: 1.6600

S3: 1.6550

Technical overview:

This correction has become almost impossible to work out. The most likely Elliott wave formation is the price-action over the last week with a new triangle developed as a new minor x-wave. This possible triangle is likely to have finished with the break below 1.6675 the odds now favors the downside, for a continuation towards the support-zone between 1.6578 - 1.6600 and a break below here will confirm a decline towards our ideal target for this X-wave at 163.88. Resistance is now found at 1.6778 and more importantly at 1.6823, which should protect the upside. A break above 1.6823 will shift the x-wave triangle into a b-wave triangle and call for a rally towards 1.6909, before lower again.

Trading recommendation:

We are neutral, but will sell EUR at 1.6720 with a close stop at 1.6785. We will place our take profit at 1.6450 if the order is filled.

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Torben Melsted
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