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05.07.2013 10:47 AM
Dollar Index continues up trend

The Dollar Index continued higher towards our targets as mentioned in previous posts. The sequence of higher highs and higher lows remains intact and validates our bullish view. The trend is up and this is confirmed by the weakness in the EUR/USD by making new lows. Don't forget that the EUR/USD is the biggest component of the Dollar Index.

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The short-term support is found at 84.35 and then at 83.95. Resistance is found at 85.45. The trend remains up for both short and intermediates term. The first worrying signs of a trend chang will be if prices fall below 83.95. The intermediate-term trend will be challenged if 83.15 is broken.

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If 83.15 is broken, then we will probably see 82.25 and why not 81.75. The longer-term trend is challenged at 80. Until then we remain long and we ride the bullish trend raising our stops in order to protect our bullish positions. Any pullback towards 83.85-70 should be met with buying as this would be another opportunity to enter long. At those levels, the 83.15 stop is close by so the risk taken is not too big.

Concluding, we remain bullish as this trend has the potential to move much higher if it continues this ladder pattern of higher highs and higher lows. The longer-term stop at 80, and intermediate term stop at 83.15. We will get bearish only below 80.

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Alexandros Yfantis
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