We have expressed our caution the last couple of days, as EUR/JPY has failed to accelerate higher. With the break below support at 127.24, our bullish outlook has been invalidated and we have had to review our larger count.

The new top-count shows that wave (E) of the huge triangle consolidation that has been developing since July 2008 still is developing, within a triple zig-zag correction and that wave Z lower to near 123.52 still should be seen. A decline to 123.52 will also be a 50% correction of wave (D).

Resistance is now seen at 127.88 and again at 128.24.

R3: 128.84

R2: 128.24

R1: 127.88

Pivot: 127.55

S1: 127.12

S2: 126.97

S3: 126.61

Trading recommendation:

Our stop at 127.20 was hit. We will stand aside for now.