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Exchange Rates 12.07.2019 analysis

Since May 17, the previous downside movement within the depicted bearish channel came to a pause allowing the recent sideway consolidation range to be established between 1.2750 - 1.2550 with a prominent key-level around 1.2650.

On June 4, temporary bullish consolidations above 1.2650 were demonstrated for a few trading sessions.

However, the price level of 1.2750 (consolidation range upper limit) has prevented further bullish advancement.

Moreover, early signs of bearish rejection have been manifested (Head & Shoulders reversal pattern with neckline located around 1.2650).

Bearish breakdown below 1.2650 (reversal pattern neckline) confirmed the reversal pattern with bearish projection target located at 1.2550, 1.2510 and 1.2450.

Short-term outlook remains under bearish pressure as long as the market keeps moving below 1.2650 (mid-range key-level and neckline of the reversal pattern).

In general, the recent Bearish breakdown below 1.2570 - 1.2550 (the lower limit of the depicted consolidation range) confirms a trend reversal into bearish on the intermediate term.

Immediate bearish decline was expected towards 1.2505.

Further bearish decline was expected to pursue towards 1.2450 (the lower limit of the current movement channel) where early signs of bullish rejection were manifested.

The current bullish pullback towards 1.2550-1.2570 should be considered as a valid SELL signal for Intraday traders.

On the other hand, An Intraday bullish position can ONLY be considered if the current bullish rejection manages to bring the GBP/USD again above the price level of 1.2540.

If so, Intraday bullish target would be projected towards 1.2650.

Trade Recommendations:

Conservative traders can have a valid SELL Entry anywhere around the lower limit of the broken consolidation range near (1.2550-1.2570).

T/P levels to be located around 1.2490 and 1.2440.

S/L should be placed above 1.2610.

*The market analysis posted here is meant to increase your awareness, but not to give instructions to make a trade.

Performed by Mohamed Samy,
Analytical expert
InstaForex Group © 2007-2019
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