empty
 
 
08.06.2020 10:32 AM
EUR/USD: Bearish Reversal Still Uncertain!

EUR/USD managed to retreat a little in the short term. The US NFP and the unemployment rate figures surprised market participnats on Friday. However, the outlook is still bullish despite a minor drop. I really hope that we'll have a clear direction and a fresh trading signal soon as the pair is trading near a major resistance zone.

The USD rallied as the US unemployment rate was reported at 13.3%, lower versus the 19.4% estimate. At the same time, in May, the non-farm payrolls jumped to 2,509K jobs whereas specialists had expected the US to lose 7,750K jobs. We'll see what will happen this week, the USD needs much more to be able to dominate in the market again.

This image is no longer relevant

The EUR/USD bullish momentum was stopped by the upper median line (UML) of the ascending pitchfork and by the monthly R2 (1.1383) level which acted as a static resistance. The current drop could be only a temporary one if the price fails to stay below the upper median line (UML) of the orange descending pitchfork.

A valid breakout above the upper median line (UML) and above the R2 (1.1383) will validate a further increase in the next weeks. On the other hand, another false breakout above the upper median line (UML), a pin bar or a bearish engulfing, could signal an important drop in the short term.

EUR/USD decreased only because the USDX managed to rebound, but unfortunately, the index is still under massive selling pressure. A USDX further drop will push the EUR/USD pair higher.

  • EUR/USD Trading Tips

We may have another long opportunity after a valid breakout from the descending pitchfork's body above the upper median line (UML) and above the R2 (1.1383) static resistance. Another higher high, a jump above the 1.1383 level, will announce a breakout above the 1.1494 high as well the R3 (1.1622) level could be used as a target as well.

Another rejection from the upper median line (UML) or another false breakout with huge separation could confirm a drop towards the 1.1200 psychological level. EUR/USD is more buying than selling now, only a reversal pattern here could suggest selling in the short term.

Ralph Shedler,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2026
Summary
Urgency
Analytic
Ralph Shedler
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $8000 more!
    In March we raffle $8000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback