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19.12.2018 08:32 AM
Forecast for USD/JPY on December 19, 2018

USD/JPY

Unfortunately, investors' fears were stronger than the feverish struggle for leadership on the eve of the Federal Reserve meeting. Trading volumes in the last three days increased, the yen sat down even with yesterday's recovery of stock markets. The index of wide market S&P 500 added 0,01%, Nasdaq technologically advanced 0.45 percent, Dow Jones up by 0.35%. But today, the Japanese Nikkei 225 loses 0.64%, Chinese China A50 -0.17%.

On a daily scale, the price has fixed itself under the Krusenstern and balance lines, formally the decline can continue, but investors' reaction to the Fed's decision on monetary policy can change the current trend. And here upside reversal may be either from the next level of 112.16 (high Aug 1), below, from 111.40 – a low of 26 October, and it's high on May 21. The lower target drop point is 110.86. But even the qualitative probability of an event is now impossible to determine, one has only to wait for the decision of the market itself.

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Laurie Bailey,
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