empty
 
 
26.10.2012 11:49 AM
USD/JPY: Under Pressure

This image is no longer relevant

Overview:
USD/JPY is consolidating after hitting four-month high of 80.38 this morning, as markets are waiting for 12:30 GMT U.S. 3Q advance estimate GDP. USD/JPY is underpinned by fears about impact of political stand-off over a JPY 38.3 trillion deficit-financing bill needed to keep the Japanese government funded. The Nikkei reported on Thursday that S&P had warned of serious implications for Japan's sovereign debt rating if there would be delay in the bill's passage. USD/JPY is also supported by weak JPY sentiment on expectations for aggressive monetary easing from Bank of Japan at its meeting on Tuesday and widening USD-JPY interest differential, demand from Japan importers. Yen-funded carry trades amid reduced risk aversion (VIX fear gauge eased 1.15% to 18.12; S&P rose 0.3% overnight) as U.K. reported unexpected growth of 1% in the third quarter, while U.S. jobless claims fell by 23,000 last week and U.S. durable goods orders jumped 9.9% in September (vs. +7.8% forecast). But risk sentiment dented by lower-than-expected 0.3% rise in U.S. September pending home sales (vs. +2.8% forecast); drop in Kansas City Fed manufacturing composite index to minus 4 this month from plus 2 in September; concerns over fiscally-strapped Spain and Greece; and Apple reporting below-forecast earnings after U.S. markets closed. USD/JPY gains also tempered by Japan exporter sales; concerns about U.S. "fiscal cliff" that could throw the U.S. economy back into recession; and positions adjustment before weekend.
Preference:
Sell below 80.2 with targets 79.69 and 79.4 in extension.
Support Levels:
S1 - 79.69 (Wednesday's low)
S2 - 79.4
S3 - 79.21-79.14 band (Monday's low-Oct. 19 low)  
Alternative scenario:
Buy Above 80.2, look for further upside with 80.35 and 80.6 as targets.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 80.35
R2 - 80.63 (June 25 high)
R3 - 81.00 
Technical Comment:
The pair has broken below its support and remains under pressure. Stochastics stays elevated at overbought.

 

Summary
Urgency
Analytic
InstaForex Analyst
Start trade
Earn on cryptocurrency rate changes with InstaForex
Download MetaTrader 4 and open your first trade
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $6000 more!
    In December we raffle $6000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Can't speak right now?
Ask your question in the chat.
Widget callback