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Forex Analysis & Reviews: Trading strategy for GBP/USD on October 22nd. Boris Johnson does not give up trying to ratify the Brexit agreement
time 22.10.2019 12:04 PM
time Relevance up to, 23.10.2019 11:59 AM

GBP/USD – 4H.

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As seen on the 4-hour chart, the GBP/USD pair continues the growth process in the direction of the correction level of 76.4% (1.3044). The resulting bearish divergence of the MACD indicator allows us to count on a reversal of the pair in favor of the US currency and some fall in the direction of the correction level of 61.8% (1.2836). The closing of the pair's quotes above the Fibo level of 76.4% will allow us to expect continued growth in the direction of the correction level of 100.0% (1.3378).

The policy of Boris Johnson is increasingly causing a flurry of criticism. For example, the Prime Minister did not appear at Monday's meeting, sending a "replacement" for Brexit Minister Stephen Barclay. As a result, a large number of deputies criticized Johnson and accused him of complete disrespect in the Parliament. Johnson's strange behavior. In a situation where he just needs the support of Parliament, he openly shows his disrespect for the deputies, while urging them to approve his agreement. Now, it even seems that Theresa May should have resigned. Given the fact that May herself was opposed to leaving the European Union, she did everything to implement the will of the people and please the majority of deputies. She also urged deputies to support the draft of her Checkers deal but did not succeed. Now, we have Boris Johnson in the role of Prime Minister, who provokes a strong hostility among half of the Parliament, which, according to Johnson himself, should accept his version of the agreement, which does not differ much from the deal of Theresa May. Moreover, Johnson allows himself not to attend meetings, which makes the deputies even angrier.

According to the latest information, over the next three days, deputies will again consider a multi-page document of the agreement with the European Union, and a vote will be held on Thursday evening, which, for example, was canceled on Monday, since Speaker of the House of Commons John Bercow said that it was no different from voting on Saturday. What will change before Thursday is not clear? However, in any case, nothing can prevent the deputies and the speaker from blocking the draft agreement once again on Thursday. In general, the question is in the air, and how many more votes is Johnson going to hold and what does he expect? At the moment, everything is going to the fact that Brexit will again be postponed, and the Prime Minister will continue to anger Parliament.

Economic reports on Monday, Tuesday and Wednesday in the UK will not be published, so traders will continue to remain immersed in the topic of Brexit.

What to expect from the pound/dollar currency pair today?

The pound/dollar pair almost reached the correction level of 76.4%. Thus, I expect further growth of quotations in the case of consolidation above this level in the direction of the next Fibo level of 100.0% (1.3378).

The Fibo grid is based on the extremes of March 13, 2019, and September 3, 2019.

Forecast for GBP/USD and trading recommendations:

I recommend buying the pair with a target of 1.3378 if the close above the Fibo level of 76.4% is executed with the stop-loss order below the level of 1.3044.

I recommend considering selling the pair with the target of 1.2668 if the consolidation under the Fibo level of 61.8% is performed.

Samir Klishi,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
© 2007-2022
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