03.06.2023 05:31 PM
Weekly review of GBP/USD for June 03, 2023

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The GBP/USD pair continues to move upwards from the level of 1.2390. According to the previous events, the GBP/USD pair is still moving between the levels of 1.2390 and 1.2427; for that we expect a range of 110 pips (1.2500 - 1.2390). On the one-hour chart, immediate support level is seen at 1.2390, which coincides with a ratio of 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Currently, the price is moving in a bullish channel. This is confirmed by the RSI indicator signaling that we are still in a bullish trending market. The price is still above the moving average (100) and (50). Therefore, if the trend is able to break out through the first resistance level of 1.2443, we would see the pair climbing towards the daily resistance at 1.2500 to test it. It would also be wise to consider where to place stop loss; this should be set below the second support of 1.2343. It should always be noted that: If the trend is upward, the strength of the currency will be defined as follows: GBP is in an uptrend and USD is in a downtrend. The stop loss should never exceed your maximum exposure amounts. The market is highly volatile if the last day had huge volatility.

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The bullish trend is currently very strong for the GBP/USD pair. As long as the price remains above the weekly support at 1.2260, you could try to take advantage of the bullish rally. The first bullish objective is located at 1.2435.

The bullish momentum would be revived by a break in this resistance. Buyers would then use the next resistance located at 1.2435 USD as an objective. Crossing it would then enable buyers to target 1.2435 USD. Be careful, given the powerful bearish rally underway, excesses could lead to a short-term rebound.

If this is the case, remember that trading against the trend may be riskier. It would seem more appropriate to wait for a signal indicating reversal of the trend.

Today, the GBP/USD pair has broken resistance at the level of 1.2260 which acts as support now. The pair has already formed minor support at 1.2260. The strong support is seen at the level of 1.2218 because it represents the weekly support 1.

Equally important, the RSI and the moving average (100) are still calling for an uptrend. Therefore, the market indicates a bullish opportunity at the level of 1.2260 on the hourly chart. Also, if the trend is buoyant, then the currency pair strength will be defined as following: GBP is in an uptrend and USD is in a downtrend.

Buy above the minor support of 1.2260 with the first target at 1.2358 (this price is coinciding with the ratio of 78% Fibonacci), and continue towards 1.2435 (the weekly resistance 1 - double top - last bullish wave).

On the other hand, if the price closes below the minor support, the best location for the stop loss order is seen below 1.2435; hence, the price will fall into the bearish market in order to go further towards the strong support at 1.2302 to test it again. Furthermore, the level of 1.2260 will form a double bottom.

According to the previous events, the price of the GBP/USD pair has been still trading between the levels of 1.2343 and 1.2500. The level of 1.2544 is representing the double top and the weekly support one has set at the same price. Buy above the spot of 1.2420 with the targets 1.2427 and 1.2544.

The daily strong support is seen at 1.2390. If the GB/USD pair is able to break out the level of 1.2390, the market will decline further to 1.2303.

Bearish outlook :

The current rise will remain within a framework of correction. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level of 1.2435, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the strong resistance level of 1.2435 (the level of 1.2435 coincides with the double top too). Since there is nothing new in this market, it is not bullish yet. Sell deals are recommended below the level of 1.2435 with the first target at 1.2302. If the trend breaks the support level of 1.2302, the pair is likely to move downwards continuing the development of a bearish trend to the level 1.2219. However, In the very short term, the general bearish sentiment is confirmed by technical indicators. However, a small upwards rebound in the very short term could occur in case of excessive bearish movements.

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