15.05.2024 05:21 AM
Forecast for USD/JPY on May 15, 2024


The USD/JPY pair is entering a complex period of consolidation. On the daily timeframe, it is within the Fibonacci range of 50.0-61.8%. The target support at 155.75 is below this range.

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If the price consolidates below this level, it could move towards the 23.6% Fibonacci level, which is approaching the MACD line. However, as long as the signal line of the Marlin oscillator moves sideways, a story similar to the period from March 20 to April 9 may continue. The only difference is that back then the consolidation led to a sharp rise, whereas this time it might result in a sharp decline.

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On the hourly chart, the price is consolidating above the balance and MACD indicator lines. The MACD line is declining and entering the lower range at the 50.0% Fibonacci level on the daily chart. Below this range, there could be a third support level at 155.75 for the period from May 10 to May 13. The Marlin oscillator is in the bearish territory, indicating a 60% probability that the price will fall.

Laurie Bailey,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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