The euro has risen in what could turn out to be an ending pattern. Based on the wave count below, we are in wave c of E up with the upper line at 1.396. Will it stop there or not? Will it take a European intervention to stop it? The Dollar index broke below the 79.5 mark, consolidating near the lowest levels. A break below the recent lows showing continued weakness in the dollar is going on. If the dollar goes into a collapse, trillions of the US dollars will start flowing out into other markets, then I am not sure what it will look like. 1.396 is going to be an important level.

In Asia, the pair is trading at 1.3928. The pair is holding above the 21EMA in H4 chart. On the downside, support exists at 1.3910, 1.3891, 1.3862, and 1.3833. If the pair breaks the 1.3833 levels, it will drift to 1.3707. We can expect a strong reversal to happen at the level between 1.3845 and 1.3833. On the up side, if the pair trades above the 1.3966 level, we will see 1.4 and 1.41 levels.

Recommendation-

Longs are only above 1.3966, hold shorts and add more shorts below 1.3891.