EUR/USD

The euro has been making new lows for the last 4 consecutive weeks. Traders are wating for the June 5 ECB meeting. As per yesterday's data, German import prices fell by 0.3% on a monthly basis, French consumer spending decreased by 0.3%, led by a decrease in expenditure on energy goods, German unemployment showed an uptick for the first time in past six months. The printed data represents a negative wave for the euro which dropped to 2-month low against the US dollar.

EUR/USD is trying to touch the zone between 1.3560 (February 12 low) and 1.3550 (50-week SMA) levels. After the ECB's next meeting, the pair can break the 1.3550 levels and it can extend its downside journey to 1.3477, 1.3411/1.34 , 1.3295 and 1.32 levels easily.

On the upside, if the bulls like to take control, they must take the pair above 1.3673 levels on a weekly closing basis. If it does so, they can make 1.3734 and 1.3775 levels.

Finally, the pair closed below the 200-day EMA after three days of consolidation, now this level (200EMA) has become crucial resistance for coming days. The resistance zone was framed between 1.3620-1.3638 levels. On the down side, the pair again looks weak below 1.3585 for 1.3562 and 1.355 levels. In case, if the pair holds 1.3585, then it can move up to 1.3620 or 1.3640 levels. Above 1.3643, it can move up to 1.3660, 1.37 and 1.3740 levels.

Intraday

Until it holds the 1.3585 level, it can pull back up to 1.3620, 1.3626, 1.3640 levels. Strong momentum is only above 1.3643 levels. If it breaks 1.3585, sell for 1.3562, 1.3550 and 1.3477 levels.

Based on the above study, we recommend the following.

Recommendations- cmp 1.3595.

Buy with sl 1.3585 and targets 1.36, 1.3620, 1.3640 levels (purely for speculators).