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07.07.2014 11:05 AM
Gold Technical analysis for July 7, 2014

The gold price has made a double top at $1,1330-$1,334 and is pulling back down below $1,320 again. The gold price is making lower highs and lower lows in the short run. It is testing the upward sloping interrmediate-term trend line as shown in the chart below. The price is also entering the Ichimoku cloud and this means that bulls are losing momentum while bears are getting stronger.

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Support is found between $1,300-$1,290. Breaking below that level will increase the chances that the upward move from $1,240 is complete. So, is the wave E of the triangle pattern I've been talking for so long. The gold price has short-term support at $1,310. If broken, I expect the gold price to test $1,290. Short-term resistance is found at $1,323. If broken, we will then anticipate a move to challenge $1,334 highs.

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Nothing has changed our preferred longer-term bearish view. Wave E could very well be complete. If not, we will get a buy signal when the price breaks above $1,334 targeting $1,350-60. With the current price setup, I feel that we might have already completed the upward move from $1,240 and we are heading lower towards $1,260. Breaking below $1,250-40 will confirm that wave E is complete.

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