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Fed about to launch QE4 this year

Fed about to launch QE4 this year

Despite the difficult situation at the last Fed meeting, the regulator decided not to back away from its intentions and reduced the rate by 25 basis points as expected. In addition, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell announced his plans to start a new quantitative easing program. However, Powell provided no details on deadlines for QE4, noting that the program was indeed coming, just not today. “It is certainly possible that we will need to resume the organic growth of the balance sheet earlier than we thought,” he said at the conference following the Fed meeting. However, Powell's statement about the growth in the balance sheet refers to the asset purchases program. And these words made perfect sense to traders. The statement was enough to make stocks surge in price, while the dollar predictably lost growth momentum. So far, we can only wonder what exactly will become the very reason for the immediate launch of QE4. According to some experts, this may be caused by another crisis in the US banking system, like Lehman's collapse. But even in the absence of major concerns regarding local banks, market participants expect a quantitative easing program to start no later than by the end of this year. Considering that the federal budget deficit is predicted to widen to 1 trillion dollars this year and 1.2 trillion dollars next year, the liquidity is not enough to satisfy the appetite of the US Treasury for raising debt funds. This is another strong argument for expanding the portfolio and launching QE4. In general, the situation in the US financial market is alarming, since the Federal Reserve is believed to be losing control over short-term interest rates in the United States.


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