empty
 
 
29.11.2022 01:44 PM
Bitcoin: the threat of the second wave of miners' capitulation

The price of the main cryptocurrency rose, returning the losses of the previous trading day. However, this does not change the technical picture, in which the main cryptocurrency is consolidating within the bear flag canvas, which technically leaves the prerequisites for an even greater decline.

This image is no longer relevant

In the last 24 hours, the Bitcoin trading volume is $25,195,723,296. The market capitalization of the cryptocurrency market is $834.81 billion, which is 2.01% more than yesterday.

The news that crypto-lending platform BlockFi has filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy may have had some impact.

Notably, BlockFi, a cryptocurrency lender, filed for bankruptcy protection on Monday, just days after suspending withdrawals following FTX's bankruptcy filing.

According to the bankruptcy filing, its significant exposure to FTX caused a liquidity crunch. FTX, founded by Sam Bankman-Fried, filed for bankruptcy in the US earlier this month after traders withdrew $6 billion from the platform in three days and rival exchange Binance pulled out of a rescue deal.

The second wave of Bitcoin miner capitulation

In addition to the bankruptcy of BlockFi, other important events are taking place. The collapse of the FTX cryptocurrency exchange caused a historic event in the bitcoin market.

Yesterday, on-chain data signaled the second wave of bitcoin miners capitulation in one cycle.

Bitcoin miner capitulation is a scenario that occurs when the price of the main cryptocurrency falls and it becomes difficult for some miners to hold BTC profitably. As a result, they are forced to sell and leave the network.

Historically, miners have had a huge impact on the BTC price. The announced capitulation of miners will put additional pressure on the price of the main cryptocurrency, which is experiencing a historically bad November, falling by 21%.

Bitcoin miners under water

The bitcoin hash rate is starting to change here. The 7-day moving average hash rate is now 13.7% below its all-time high.

Mining difficulty is expected to adjust by around -9% within a week, which will ease the burden on miners, at least in the short term.

Nevertheless, miners margins have been and continue to be declining strongly since June, when the first capitulation in this cycle occurred. Despite this, the hash rate still rose to an all-time high until recently.

This, the increased difficulty of mining, and the price drop associated with FTX have caused the hash price to reach its lowest level since late 2020.

By changing the net position of Bitcoin miners, it is clear that they have been aggressively selling coins over the past month.

"Combined with the decline in the hash rate and today's hash band bear cross, this suggests that we are indeed in a phase of miner capitulation," said Will Clemente of Reflexivity Research.

How long will the capitulation last?

Keep in mind that the capitulation of miners is usually the last stage of a bitcoin bear market. In the 2018 cycle, the BTC hashrate continued to rise as the price reached the $6,000 mark until the final miner capitulation reached $3,000.

In the current cycle, miners have already been capitulated in June. They have reduced their holdings by 4,000 BTC over the past two weeks, equivalent to approximately $68 million.

Prior to that, they had just started a net accumulation trend in September 2022, betting that the bottom had been reached. However, they bet on the wrong horse and now face dire consequences.

Historically, miner capitulation has lasted an average of 48 days, which would end miner pressure by mid-January 2023.

However, the most recent capitulation ended only two months later, on August 18. The end was the third longest capitulation in history. Therefore, Bitcoin bulls should be careful in December and January and watch the behavior of the miners.

EURUSD
Euro vs US Dollar
Select timeframe
5
min
15
min
30
min
1
hour
4
hours
1
day
1
week
Start trade
Start trade
Guadagna sulle variazioni del tasso di criptovaluta con InstaForex
Scarica MetaTrader 4 e apri la tua prima transazione
  • Grand Choice
    Contest by
    InstaForex
    InstaForex always strives to help you
    fulfill your biggest dreams.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Chancy Deposit
    Deposit your account with $3,000 and get $1000 more!
    In April we raffle $1000 within the Chancy Deposit campaign!
    Get a chance to win by depositing $3,000 to a trading account. Having fulfilled this condition, you become a campaign participant.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • Trade Wise, Win Device
    Top up your account with at least $500, sign up for the contest, and get a chance to win mobile devices.
    JOIN CONTEST
  • 100% Bonus
    Your unique opportunity to get a 100% bonus on your deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 55% Bonus
    Apply for a 55% bonus on your every deposit
    GET BONUS
  • 30% Bonus
    Receive a 30% bonus every time you top up your account
    GET BONUS

Recommended Stories

Nuove restrizioni sui trasferimenti di criptovalute nell'UE

E mentre Bitcoin sta lottando per raggiungere il massimo mensile e continuare la ripresa, è diventato noto che i membri del Parlamento europeo della commissione economica e monetaria e della

Jakub Novak 15:37 2023-03-30 UTC+2

Bitcoin continua a muoversi lateralmente, ma le nuvole si addensano: cosa aspettarsi dalla criptovaluta nel prossimo futuro?

La precedente settimana rialzista si è conclusa e ha lasciato il mercato delle criptovalute in uno stato di maggiore volatilità. A stabilizzare la situazione sul mercato c'è il consolidamento

Artem Petrenko 10:21 2023-03-29 UTC+2

Qual è la ragione del forte calo di Bitcoin ed Ethereum

Bitcoin ed Ethereum sono crollati dopo che è arrivata la notizia che la Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) degli Stati Uniti stava facendo causa allo scambio di criptovalute Binance

Jakub Novak 10:12 2023-03-28 UTC+2

Come previsto, il mercato delle criptovalute ha rallentato il ritmo dell'attività di trading e ha iniziato a consolidarsi vicino al livello di 28.000$. Anche l'attività di trading di bitcoin continua

Artem Petrenko 10:50 2023-03-22 UTC+2

Bitcoin si stabilizza vicino ai 28.000$: dobbiamo aspettarci un'ulteriore crescita della criptovaluta?

Dopo un buon inizio di settimana, Bitcoin ha rallentato e si è stabilizzato vicino alla soglia dei 28.000 dollari. La criptovaluta è passata alla fase di consolidamento, che ha ridotto

Artem Petrenko 09:19 2023-03-21 UTC+2

Bitcoin supera i 28.000 dollari e si prepara a un nuovo rialzo

Bitcoin ed Ether assaltano nuovi massimi annuali. Il Bitcoin è particolarmente richiesto di fronte alla crisi bancaria. Molti entusiasti di criptovalute hanno subito ricordato le critiche alla prima criptovaluta

Jakub Novak 14:04 2023-03-20 UTC+2

Il Brasile vede aumentare la domanda di criptovalute

Dopo un significativo calo simultaneo di bitcoin ed ether, nonostante i tassi di cambio si siano stabilizzati, il mercato rimane completamente calmo. I trader si stanno preparando per il discorso

Jakub Novak 12:13 2023-03-06 UTC+2

Robert Kiyosaki consiglia di acquistare bitcoin, oro e argento

Mentre il tasso di Bitcoin ed Ether è in fase di correzione prima dell'ennesima grande svendita, a cui consiglio di prestare particolare attenzione e di cui parleremo poco dopo nell'analisi

Jakub Novak 14:30 2023-03-02 UTC+2

Un altro colpo alla divisione promettente di Metaverse

Più di recente, ho parlato della chiusura da parte di Microsoft di una serie di divisioni relative allo sviluppo del metaverso e dei piani per ridurre gli investimenti in questo

Jakub Novak 09:39 2023-02-21 UTC+2

Bitcoin: ultima possibilità per gli orsi

La criptovaluta Bitcoin è aumentata inaspettatamente la scorsa settimana anche se non c'erano motivi per la crescita. Sì, la scorsa settimana ci sono stati due eventi importanti: i rapporti sull'inflazione

Paolo Greco 17:15 2023-02-20 UTC+2
In questo momento non potete parlare al telefono?
Ponete la vostra domanda nella chat.