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2026.03.0403:50:00UTC+00Japan 10Y Yield Falls as BOJ Outlook Mulled

Japan’s 10-year government bond yield fell 5 basis points to 2.1% on Wednesday, as the escalating conflict in the Middle East and rising energy prices further clouded the outlook for Bank of Japan monetary policy. The country is contending with the twin challenges of weak economic growth and elevated inflation driven by external risks, leading traders to reassess their expectations for future BOJ rate hikes. Even so, BOJ board member Ryozo Himino said the central bank remains prepared to make necessary policy adjustments despite market volatility and uncertainty, adding that interest rates could move toward a neutral level if underlying inflation accelerates toward the BOJ’s target. On Tuesday, a 10-year JGB auction attracted stronger-than-expected demand, with a bid-to-cover ratio of 3.3, up from 3.02 at the previous sale and above the 12-month average of 3.23.

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