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03.02.2023 08:24 AM
Trading plan for EURUSD on February 03, 2023

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Technical outlook:

EURUSD rose through 1.1025 post-FOMC's decision on Wednesday only to find resistance. In less than 24 hours, the single currency pair slipped back below the 1.0900 handle, giving away all gains. This was expected as per the wave structure and a meaningful retracement should be on its way going forward. Ideally, the 1.1025 resistance should hold well for the month of February.

EURUSD has now potentially confirmed a top at 1.1025 and has carved an engulfing bearish pattern on the daily chart. The larger-degree wave structure, which began from 0.9535 in September 2022, looks complete now. A corrective drop should be seen breaking below the 1.0481 initial support in the next few trading sessions.

EURUSD's potential to drop remains up to 1.0100 which is marked by a rectangle on the daily chart presented here. Also, note that the Fibonacci 0.618 retracement of the entire rally between 0.9535 and 1.1025 is seen passing through 1.0100. A high probability remains for a bullish reversal if prices drop through those levels.

Trading idea:

A potential bearish move against 1.1100

Good luck!

Oscar Ton,
Analytical expert of InstaForex
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