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16.11.2021: USD climbs higher; Biden and Xi hold virtual talks; outlook for USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD
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12.03.2025: Trump foresees no recession, but USD badly bruised. Outlook for USD, EUR/USD, Brent, RUB
2025-03-12 23:12 UTC+3
11.03.2025: USD sapped by US recession fears. Outlook for USD, EUR/USD, Brent, RUB
2025-03-11 23:00 UTC+3
07.03.2025: USD baffled by Trump’s trade tariffs. Outlook for USD, EUR/USD, Brent, RUB
2025-03-07 21:49 UTC+3
04.03.2025: USD to fall victim to Trump’s trade war. Outlook for USD, EUR/USD, Brent, RUB
2025-03-04 21:14 UTC+3
03.03.2025: EUR taking advantage of EU’s assertive policy. Outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-03-03 22:25 UTC+3
28.02.2025: Trump setting stage for another Great Depression in US? Outlook for USD, EUR/USD, Brent
2025-02-28 22:38 UTC+3
27.02.2025: Trump disappoints his voters. Outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-02-27 21:18 UTC+3
24.02.2025: USD falls prey to Trump’s trade policy. Outlook for USD, EUR/USD, Brent, RUB
2025-02-24 22:24 UTC+3
20.02.2025: How strong is USD’s airbag? Outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-02-21 00:08 UTC+3
19.02.2025: US-Russia talks high on agenda, tariffs taking back seat. Outlook for USD,EUR,Brent,RUB
2025-02-19 22:39 UTC+3
12.02.2025: USD and Trump again ruling markets. Outlook for USD, EUR/USD, Brent, RUB
2025-02-12 22:17 UTC+3
11.02.2025: USD benefits from new tariffs. Outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-02-11 22:14 UTC+3
07.02.2025: US NFPs miss forecasts. USD to retreat? Outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-02-07 21:35 UTC+3
04.02.2025: Trump’s “friendly negotiations” drive USD up. Outlook for USD, EUR/USD, Brent, RUB
2025-02-04 22:41 UTC+3
03.02.2025: Trump’s tariffs not fully priced in. Outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-02-03 21:24 UTC+3
31.01.2025: USD confused about what Trump says and what he does. Outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-01-31 21:54 UTC+3
30.01.2025: USD vulnerable to Trump’s trade tariffs. Outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-01-30 19:59 UTC+3
27.01.2025: Trump expanding his scope of punitive tariffs. Outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-01-27 22:55 UTC+3
23.01.2025: Trump disturbs Fed’s agenda. USD bruised. Outlook for USD, EUR/USD, Brent, RUB
2025-01-23 18:00 UTC+3
22.01.2025: Tariff fuss might hurt USD. Outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-01-22 22:49 UTC+3
16.01.2025: “Orange Swan” sets stage for USD’s rally. Daily outlook for USD, EUR, Brent, RUB
2025-01-16 17:07 UTC+3
Hi everyone! It is already Tuesday and we have lots of interesting news for you. Traders are anticipating US retail sales and industrial output data for October. Apart from that, at the virtual meeting, Xi Jinping expressed his readiness to work with President Biden to build consensus and take active steps to move China-US relations forward in a positive direction. These statements are sure to have an impact on market sentiment. Watch our video review and find out more interesting pieces of news.
The trajectory of the US dollar is in line with our forecast. Yesterday, it reached the support level of 95 and began to grow again. Now, the index has approached 95.5. On the current chart, the resistance level is located at 95.6. So, the US currency is likely to trade in this range for some time ahead of the release of important economic reports.
The yen remains weak versus the greenback. There are several reasons for it. The main reason is Japan’s pessimistic GDP report for the third quarter. Economic growth slowed down and even fell in annual terms. The Japanese government also intends to introduce cash payments to households with children under the age of 18 as part of an economic stimulus plan. It will also include tax benefits and salary increases for care workers and nurses This may trigger inflation in the country but partially offset economic losses. The dollar/yen pair is now moving up. From its current level of 114.25, it may climb to 114.45.
On Monday, the Aussie showed the biggest gain amid upbeat China’s retail sales and industrial production data. However, today, it is declining again from f 0.7335 to 0.7300. It is likely to keep dropping for some time mainly because of the strengthening of the US dollar.
Let’s sum up. The situation in the global market is relatively calm. Bulls are still in control amid the ongoing quantitative easing programs in many countries. However, keep in mind that the Fed may be forced to raise the key rate earlier than expected amid high inflation and the recovery of the labor market. Besides, the regulator may taper asset purchases at a faster pace than planned.
Today, speculators are looking for the US retail sales and industrial output reports for October. If the figures turn out to be positive, it may be rather bearish for the stock market. So, there may be some pullbacks in the market.
That’s all for now! Do not miss our next video review! See you!
00:00 Intro
00:40 USDX
01:10 USD/JPY
02:07 AUD/USD
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